State of the Art and Research Gaps in Forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System – Workshop

State of the Art and Research Gaps in Forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System – Workshop

 

NexSys supported the International Energy Agency (IEA) Wind Task 51 workshop, which took place on 12 and 13 September 2022 at University College Dublin. NexSys co-Principal Investigator Associate Professor Vikram Pakrashi hosted the workshop and meeting.

This event gathered experts from industry and academia to discuss the forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System.

 

This workshop explored developments in the area, including

– details of new products and new developments in weather forecasting for renewable

– data for forecasting, including which parts of the data can be open and how data markets could work.

Because many forecasting models are data-driven, it was discussed that data is developing into a new commodity for both meteorological and power forecasts.

 

Task 51, under the IEA Implementing Agreement for Co-operation in the Research, Development, and Deployment of Wind Energy Systems (IEA Wind) focuses on improving the value of renewable energy forecasts.

 

Learn more about:

NexSys Offshore Wind Strand -> 

Associate Professor Vikram Pakrashi ->

International Energy Agency Wind Task 51 ->

 

NexSys, ESIPP and UCD Energy Institute recognised for decarbonisation research

NexSys, ESIPP and UCD Energy Institute recognised for decarbonisation research

 

UCD Energy Institute, host and lead of NexSys, has been recognized by the Higher Education Authority for its work on decarbonising energy systems.

 

The Energy Systems Integration Partnership Programme (ESIPP) was the Energy Institute’s previous flagship research program and ran from 2015 to 2022, which developed into Next Generation Energy Systems(NexSys) to continue multidisciplinary research and talent development for the energy transition, running from 2022 to 2026.

 

“The UCD Energy Institute has been proud to make a positive impact towards our societal goal of a net zero carbon future,” said Professor Andrew Keane, Director of NexSys and the UCD Energy Institute.

 

 

“Hosting large, multidisciplinary programmes such as ESIPP and now NexSys show the potential for advances in the energy transition when academics and industry work in partnership.”

 

 

With the energy transition being of ever-growing importance in Ireland and the world, NexSys is leading an all-island partnership with eight other leading research institutions to tackle the challenges of energy decarbonization.

 

The largest program component of NexSys is Energy Systems with four critical, connected research strands: cities and communities, Transport, Water, and Offshore Wind to define pathways to a net zero energy system.

 

Learn more about:

Higher Education Authority’s case study on NexSys, ESIPP, and UCD Energy Institute, which awarded UCD €833,333 in recognition of achievements in developing research talent and in supporting policy for the decarbonisation of energy in Ireland:

https://hea.ie/2022/09/01/minister-harris-announces-e5-million-funding-to-support-and-recognise-exceptional-performance-by-higher-education-institutions/

and

https://hea.ie/funding-governance-performance/managing-performance/institutional-stories-of-impact/university-college-dublin-2022/

UCD Energy Institute: https://energyinstitute.ucd.ie/

ESIPP (Energy Systems Integration Partnership Programme): https://esipp.ie/

 

Image source: UCD News and Opinion

 

How Just is the Just Transition?

How Just is the Just Transition?

This blog reflects a community impact view, illustrated by the ongoing transition in Ireland.

Dr. Aparajita Banerjee, Postdoctoral Researcher with NexSys and Assoc. Prof. Geertje Schuitema, Funded Investigator with NexSys and academic in the UCD College of Business, reflecting on their research on Just Transition. This research included a lot of interaction with local communities impacted by the ongoing transition in the Irish Midlands.

The energy transition has impacts on communities as well as on power systems. 

Energy transition implies many changes: fewer fossil fuels, more renewable energy, and infrastructural changes for energy production, transmission, and storage.

All these changes impact our society and have real implications for people, communities, and organizations. This benefits many, for example in the form of having a reliable energy supply, new business opportunities from new energy projects, or improved wellbeing.

However, as with all changes, there are also “losers”. Reducing fossil fuel used in energy production through phasing out subsidies, divestments, moratoria, bans, and litigations can affect the lives of people who have worked, lived, and raised their families depending on fossil fuel ancillary enterprises.

 

This results in the loss of jobs and livelihoods, changes in working conditions, skill obsolescence, and the ability to acquire future employment in a changing economy.In fact, some communities that were thriving in the carbon industry may be negatively impacted when entire industries disappear.

 

To ensure that the “losers” of the energy transition are not disproportionally affected by the energy transition, world leaders reaffirmed their commitments that climate change actions should synchronize with eradicating poverty, reducing inequalities, and achieving sustainable development.

 

This commitment is referred to as the “Just Transition”. Social justice, respect for human rights and protection of livelihoods provide the normative core to a just transition vision whereas rehabilitating workers, communities and regions affected by the closure of fossil fuel industries is roughly translated as just transition practice.

 

Given this, public funds are made available to achieve this, for example, by the European Union which recently created the Just Transition Fund as a new instrument of the region-wide Cohesion Policy 2021-2027 to support territories most affected by low carbon energy transition.

 

A Just Transition requires recognizing that workers’ rights and livelihoods are affected and that communities embedded in fossil fuel extraction regions may suffer heavily from job loss and reduced disposable income. Hence, the focus of a Just Transition is on rehabilitating workers and creating transformative social, economic, and environmental changes.

 

However, the question is, “How just is the execution of a Just Transition in the eyes of those for whom it was designed?” To illustrate this, we elaborate on an Irish example: The Just Transition in the Irish Midlands, where recently the end of peat-based electricity production was announced.

 

The end of peat: uncertain future and promises of a Just Transition

At the end of 2019, it was decided that the last two peat-fired power plants in the Irish Midlands would be closed by the end of 2020. The closure of the power plants, and the reduction of demand for peat, affect around 4000 jobs in one of the country’s poorest regions, resulting in an uncertain future for the workers, their families, and the communities.

 

Recognizing the imminent socioeconomic impacts of the closure, the Government of Ireland constituted a Just Transition Fund to support the region. We conducted semi-structured interviews and a community-wide survey to investigate how the workers and local communities perceived the peat industry’s imminent closure and how a Just Transition plan could benefit them. We focused on those involved with the Lough Ree Power Station in Lanesborough.

 

Results show very little local support for the sudden closure of the Lough Ree Power Station that used peat fuel (Figure 1). Furthermore, although participants were concerned about climate change and Ireland’s commitment to emission reduction, they believed more proper planning is required to minimize regional impacts like job loss associated with decarbonizing the energy industry.

 

Source: Medugorac, V., Banerjee, A., & Schuitema, G. (2020). Ireland’s Just Transition – A report on the perceptions of impacted communities in Ireland. Available at: https://www.esipp.ie/post/irelands-just-transition-a-report-on-the-perceptions-of-impacted-communities-in-ireland.

 

Reskilling and upskilling programs were provided by the company, yet workers believed that these programmes often missed the point. For example, they offered skills training for skills they already had, or the new skills did not match locally available jobs. The in-person training programmes were also suspended during the pandemic and the workers were surviving on social welfare and their severance pays.

 

Facing an uncertain future, many planned to either commute to bigger cities daily for work or migrate to other regions. Such an increase in daily commute would increase local emissions and erode social contracts, leading to a feeling of reduced quality of life. Some feared the entire region would change into towns seen in a Western movie when the gold rush went out with dust and tumbleweeds everywhere and the doors falling off.’ [Interviewee 020].

 

Photo credit: Aparajita Banerjee

 

To avoid such a future, Ireland’s government allocated funds to the region to increase local employment opportunities through economic diversification. However, participants were apprehensive, as they reiterated the importance of engaging in social dialogue with the workers and the communities. Also, investments in the region would require years to rejuvenate local economies and there is no guarantee that those who lost their livelihoods would be benefitted by the government investments. Overall, they felt communities should be much more involved to ensure that investments would truly benefit the region. Instead, the Just Transition was often perceived as “paper talk”.

 

Quote from Interviewee 23

What’s happened since the implementation of Just Transition? Zero. And that’s the answer. That is the answer. Absolutely nothing, because it’s all paper talk. It’s all paper talk and it’s all answering the right questions. If someone asks you a question, and if you give them the right answer, people will go on happy with themselves. But the right answer might never materialise.

Photo credit: Aparajita Banerjee

 

How just is the Just Transition?

The Irish Midlands do not stand alone. There are many similar regions around the world where fossil fuel extraction will eventually come to an end. Think for instance about communities in Central Appalachian regions of the US, hard coal mining regions in Germany or Australia, or the petroleum production in Mexico.

Though governments may readily commit to the Just Transition programs, their execution can be poor, lacking knowledge of the needs of local people, communities, and businesses.

A Just Transition should include dialoguing with people in developing a sustainable future for them, covering a broad perspective.

The planning should start long before the actual closure of businesses. Local economic opportunities should be pre-emptively promoted so that an alternative economy that can help communities to sustain themselves is created.

Lack of such long-term and broad thinking can affect society’s support for the energy transition, jeopardizing the chances of creating a just and more sustainable world. Therefore it’s in the general interest to ensure that a Just Transition is just that.

 

Further Information

  • Recent journal publication in Energy Research & Social Science, 2022  “How just are just transition plans? Perceptions of decarbonisation and low-carbon energy transitions among peat workers in Ireland”, Aparajita Banerjee, Geertje Schuitema. -> 
  • Radio Interview: Dr. Banerjee is interviewed by Shannonside FM about her research in the Midlands on Just Transition ->
  • Link to Dr. Aparajita Banerjee academic profile ->
  • Link to Assoc. Prof. Geertje Shuitema academic profile ->

What we can do to go green with an acceptable cost

“What we can do to go green with an acceptable cost” with Professor Lisa Ryan on the Newstalk

lisa ryan

NexSys academic Professor Lisa Ryan discussed what people can do to go green with an acceptable cost with Pat Kenny on a Newstalk podcast on 3rd of August 2022

 

With people considering deep retrofits of their homes to reduce the amount of energy used, financial cost is a major consideration. Lisa gave her opinion: “Full deep retrofitting buildings is an expensive business, but there are many things that we can do to start the process.”

 

In terms of different steps to reduce carbon, people should first of all be looking at the fabric of the building and reducing that demand for energy.

The next step may be to use heat pumps to replace oil boilers, where appropriate. Some websites have a system of a “one-stop shop”, with support and information for people who know what they want for their home or business.

“ Now one of the big barriers to carrying out any of these retrofit activities is thinking about where I should start.”

 

At the end of the podcast, Lisa talked about the costs and benefits of a heat pump.

 

Listen to the  Podcast on Newstalk: 

 

Professor Lisa Ryan academic profile: https://people.ucd.ie/lisa.ryan

 

NexSys: A successful collaboration between industry, academia and the State

Read The Irish Times report 

The Irish Times published a special report on Friday, 12 August 2022, showing the importance of research, development and innovation (RDI) for Ireland. It points out that RDI is a key driver of innovation across academia and industry but also a marker of how successful a country is globally.

 

Dr Ciarán Seoighe, Deputy Director General of Science Foundation Ireland (SFI) said, “Ireland’s R&D sector is strong, in large part, thanks to the high level of collaboration between industry, academia and the State.”

 

Seoighe cited NexSys as a successful collaboration between industry, academia and the State, which is a €16 million strategic partnership between SFI and a number of industry co-funding partners to decarbonize the energy sector.

 

NexSys was officially launched by Minister for Further and Higher Education, Research, Innovation and Science Simon Harris, T.D in May 2022, which is an all-island, multidisciplinary energy research program hosted by the UCD Energy Institute in partnership with eight other leading research institutions that are defining pathways to a net zero energy system.

 

Learn more about:

 

Read the full report: 

 

NexSys Launches:

 

UCD Energy Institute

 

SFI Research News:

 

 

 

 

NexSys Launches May 2022

NexSys Launches May 2022

In May 2022, Nexsys was officially launched by Minister for Further and Higher Education, Research, Innovation and Science Simon Harris, T.D. Click to see videos at the launch.

 

Collaborating as a multi-disciplinary team to provide technology development and evidence-based insights into the energy transition through multi-dimensional research and outreach that is focused on equity for energy citizens and practical solutions for industry.

Launching NexSys, Minister Simon Harris said: “I am delighted to announce details of NexSys, a partnership which aims to answer some of the fundamental research questions as part of the transition to net zero.”

See Minister Harris’ comments at the launch here .

Read More ->